Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Eugoly

First and foremost, I'd like to hold a moment of silence for the 2008-09 Boston Celtics...


This is hard for me to say, but the better team won this series.  That the series went to seven games is remarkable, and that the Celtics played so hard throughout despite being ravaged by injuries makes their intense and gritty playoff run all the more impressive.  News broke today that Kendrick Perkins, Ray Allen and Paul Pierce were all playing hurt, and I am not surprised one bit.  As if the season ending injuries to Kevin Garnett and Leon Powe weren't enough, apparently the universe saw fit to afflict three more of Boston's starters with debilitating injuries as well.  In case you weren't counting, that's three out of three of the Celtics New Big Three injured.  And this team took Orlando to seven games.  The accolades will likely never materialize for this feat, but in my mind, the Celtics deserve an equal amount of respect and admiration for playing through tough times and refusing to roll over in the face of superior competition.

Lesser teams would have crumbled months ago, but the Celtics stayed strong and proud and competed with the class of the NBA despite being short one gigantic and vital piece of the puzzle.  Though it has been beaten to death, the significance of Kevin Garnett's injury this season cannot be understated.   He brought so much more than emotion, intensity and leadership to the table for the Celtics (though these attributes are vital, no doubt), and his presence was missed on both ends of the court.  We must all pray that he is capable of healing and isn't at the beginning of the end of his playing career.  

The silver lining is that the Celtics will avoid the inevitable shaming by Cleveland and has another month to rest that they didn't get last year.  With any luck, the Celtics can reload and come back next year healthy and revitalized.  The will to win was there all along, and now they can be motivated by the chase to catch whomever is declared King of the Mountain this year.  The core will still be the same, and although some minor pieces may not return (Baby Davis is a free agent) the Celtics may find themselves in a position to get better next year rather than have to attempt to do the same job with less tools like they had to this season.

So although the Celtics have failed to repeat as champions, and although they lost before the Conference Finals on their home floor, I will remember these Celtics well (even Stephon Marbury).  I will remember them for their 27-2 start to the season, Paul Pierce's early season daggers, Rajon Rondo's near triple double average in the postseason and Ray Allen's 51 against the Bulls and I will smile as I raise a glass for them.  It was one hell of a ride this year and I cherished every occasion that I was fortunate enough to watch my hometown team take the floor.  Now if you'll excuse me I'm going to go drink myself stupid and watch my DVD of game six of last year's Finals over and over and over again. 


Saturday, May 16, 2009

Running Commentary

Before we get to the looming game seven tomorrow, I am compelled to point out that although Dwight Howard led the Magic to a victory in game six (he got 16 shots), his post play and touches were not what carried the day for Orlando.  If I had to point to one reason, it would probably be the "10" under offensive rebounds in Howard's stat line from game six.  Put simply, Dwight dominated the boards on both ends and generated the vast majority of his offense from second shot opportunities off of missed shots from his fellow Magicians.  It's what he does best, and when he dedicates himself to it the Magic are very tough to beat.  To the man's credit he admitted a mistake and focused his game in the right areas and gave an inspired effort for more than 40 minutes.  Add 19 Celtic turnovers to the mix and a seriously inspired defensive effort that committed to taking the ball away from Paul Pierce nearly every time he touched it, and you get a game seven tomorrow in Boston.  

This is a post under construction, and I'll try to add some more nuggets of pseudo-wisdom throughout the day at the Boathouse tomorrow.  If you can, watch the game.  Game sevens in the NBA are poetry in motion and the height of the sport.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

By All Means, Heed Mr. Howard

Dwight Howard is demanding the ball more after a frustrating loss for the Orlando Magic in game five of their series against the Celtics, and I couldn't be happier.  Not only are Howard's comments creating panic and tension for Orlando fans and the Magic as an organization, but his demands are playing right into the Celtics' hands.  While everyone else around the country is debating whether or not the coaches or the players are more to blame for ignoring Howard down the stretch on Tuesday, only a selected few (John Hollinger, Bob Ryan, Basketbawful's Matt McHale and myself) have hit the nail on the head and highlighted the fact that despite Howard's broad shoulders occupying the middle of the floor, most of Orlando's offensive success this year has come from shooting three-pointers, not from isolating Dwight Howard in the low post and allowing him to make a play.

Sure, Dwight Howard is a beast down low and ranks as one of the best centers in the game, but his dominance comes from his physicality, athleticism and rebounding ability, not because of his ability to score in the post.  In basketball, there's a difference between scoring close to the basket and scoring out of the post.  Though both events usually occur in the same general area on the floor, they are not the same.  To score in the low post requires strength, athleticism and physicality to be sure, however it also requires several things that Dwight Howard sorely lacks: soft hands, good footwork and a light touch with both hands around the rim.  

Soft hands are necessary not just for converting baby hooks, floaters, turn around jumpers and bank shots, but for dribbling the basketball in traffic, catching an entry pass and passing out of a double team as well.  Similarly, good footwork is an absolute must for successful low post offense, as the offensive player must efficiently and effectively use their feet to win a position battle and get to their spots on the floor from more than just a few feet away.  Lastly, a light shooting touch with both hands is necessary for elite post play, as the league's best defenders can force an opponent to go to their off hand in the post as an effective means for getting a stop.

Tim Duncan, Yao Ming, Pau Gasol and Al Jefferson can do all of these things, Dwight Howard cannot.  First of all, nothing about Dwight Howard can be described as "soft," especially not his shooting touch (watch him try and make a bank shot from more than three feet and you'll see what I mean).  In the same vein, Howard has no left hand, which makes it too easy for the Celtic big men to guard him, since they know in advance which way he's going when he shoots.  Lastly and perhaps most importantly, his footwork is atrocious and as of yet unpolished, making it almost impossible for him to get to his spots on the floor (i.e. the rim) against a disciplined and physical defense.  It's not just that Howard lacks the necessary fundamentals to perform all of the spins, fakes and other scoring moves that post wizards like Kevin McHale routinely pulled out to school defenders, he cannot use his steps efficiently and effectively to force defenders out of position and get him to his spots as fast as possible.

For most of the NBA season (and for his entire life prior to his NBA career), Howard can simply outmuscle his defender and get to the front of the rim for a quick dunk on an entry pass.  Against two very tough and very strong defenders in Kendrick Perkins and Glen Davis, this is not so easy for Howard to do.  When he is consistently catching the ball outside of the paint or more than five feet from the rim (as has been happening all series long), Howard becomes ineffective on offense because of these holes in his game.  Against lesser opponents who lack the same caliber of personnel to match Howard's strengths, we don't notice and are content to ooh and ahh every time he emphatically slams the ball home on some poor sap's head, but against an elite opponent like the Celtics, his scoring average dips by 25% and he lights the match that will eventually burn the house down by not realizing what he actually needs to do to help his team win. 

What is that, by the way?  Aside from instantly learning flawless fundamental footwork and mastering his left hand in one or two nights, Howard could shut his freaking mouth and do what he does best: defend, rebound and score off of second chance opportunities.  In the games that Orlando has won in this series, Howard has been active on defense and grabbed a ton of rebounds (something that didn't happen in game five, where the Celtics got every loose ball and created key second shots that ultimately won the game).  In the Orlando wins in this series, he's averaging ten shots a game, which is exactly how many he got in game five.  In fact, as John Hollinger astutely pointed out the other day, the Magic play nearly as well or better when Howard gets ten shots or fewer than they do when he shoots a lot more.  Hmmmmm, maybe instead of blaming his coach Dwight should look at a stat sheet and realize that his touches per game have almost no correlation to the Magic's winning percentage.

On second thought, I hope he doesn't do that, because then Howard might realize that Orlando's true key to success lies not with him but with Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu behind the three-point line.  As those two players go, so go the Magic.  If they are hitting shots, then Howard suddenly finds himself open a lot more for those easy dunks that he lives on.  If they are being well defended or don't have the ball as often because some giant oaf in the middle is selfishly demanding the ball, then you get results like Tuesday's soul crushing loss.  Perhaps once Dwight learns a few post moves and proves to be a dominant scorer on the block, I'll take what he has to say seriously.  Until then, he's just a better version of Tyson Chandler who dunks with a superman cape.  

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Aligning the Stars

Admittedly I'm somewhat distracted right now by the breaking news that Manny Ramirez has tested positive for a banned substance and will be suspended for 50 games starting today.  He tested positive for a female fertility drug, which is apparently used as a mechanism to restart the body's natural testosterone production after the user has finished a steroid cycle.  So much for my vote that he's the greatest right-handed hitter to ever play the game (welcome back, Mr. Aaron!).  Even in the steroid era where nobody can be presumed innocent after so many revelations in recent years, this shocked me.  Manny had no need for steroids, for his gifts of brilliant vision, balance, discipline, reflexes and the sweetest swing I've ever seen made him the great hitter he is, yet the implications from this result is practically a smoking gun.  We should have known better by now, but somehow this is still a devastating shock to the system.  So it goes.  

As for basketball news, the Celtics are looking good once again after pounding the Magic into submission last night to even the series and hearing the news today that Magic point guard Rafer "Skip 2 my Lou" Alston has been suspended for game three after slapping Eddie House upside the head during the second half of game two.  Though Alston hasn't had any luck stopping the Celtic guards or providing effective offense against them, his loss means that the already suspect Orlando point-guard corps is now thinner than Mikki Moore.  This loss would be significant against any NBA opponent, however against the Celtics it is huge because of the out-of-this-world play from Rajon Rondo.

Speaking of Rondo, he continued his downright nasty (and I mean that in the best possible way) play last night, notching another triple double with 15 points, 11 rebounds and 18 (!) assists.  The numbers are impressive (especially the assist total) enough, but they don't even capture the extent to which he shredded the Magic from start to finish.  As usual, Rondo was the catalyst and used his speed and energy to wreak havoc on a normally stout Orlando defense and created more scoring opportunities for the Celtics than his 18 assists indicate.  Simmons is right, he's a smaller, faster and nastier version of Isiah Thomas, and I'm totally loving every second of it.

Game three is tomorrow night in Orlando, and while I'd normally pick the home team to win an intense home game after getting humiliated at your opponents house in the last contest, but for a variety of reasons that I will in due time explain, I like the Celtics to win the next game.  The first reason is the absence of Alston and the stellar play of Rajon Rondo.  Anthony Johnson and Tyronn Lue have little hope of containing Rondo on defense, and neither have proven to be players capable of taking big minutes in big games.  Rondo will slash the Orlando guards to ribbons, and even with Dwight Howard defending the rim Rondo's dribble penetration will help the other Celtics find open shots.  The Magic have no answer for Rondo, and that's the end of the story.

Another factor working for the Celtics going into game three is the poor play of Paul Pierce in game two.  Pierce played only 16 minutes in game two because of foul trouble and finished with just three points for the game.  Because of the foul trouble, Pierce actually got an impromptu rest and should be fresh for the next contest.  Pierce is also the kind of player who is competitive and proud, meaning he isn't likely to have two bad games in a row.  With that in mind, I'm looking for him to exploit his advantages against the Magic and spark the Celtics on the road, much as they did against Chicago in game three of that series.  If he can stay out of foul trouble, Pierce should have plenty of opportunities to remind the Magic why he's called the Truth.

In this same vein, I expect Dwight Howard to play better than he did in game two (he got outplayed by Kendrick Perkins and finished with a pedestrian 12/12), but to me that won't necessarily translate into a win for the Magic.  As I've written about at length before, I believe that Dwight Howard's game is limited and that he can be defended more readily than anyone is willing to admit.  The Celtics have played him well all year long, and Glen Davis has personally gotten the better of him before.  He's incredibly talented to be sure, however his strengths don't really match up that well against a tough and disciplined defense like the Celtics.  

Dwight Howard can simply be pushed away from the rim and double teamed all day long, which if done properly can completely remove him from the game and really stagnate the normally fluid, high octane Orlando offense.  Howard struggles to be an offensive threat when he's more than five feet from the basket, and his poor footwork and passing skills can make him a liability on a night where he isn't allowed to live in the paint.  Because of this, the Celtics have an advantage over Orlando and should win this series, albeit in six or seven games (though who wants to?  As I'm writing this, LeBron and the Cavs are KILLING the Hawks again and James just hit a 40-footer to end the first half with a hand in his face and it wasn't luck.  He measured the shot, rose up for a normal jumper and followed through as the ball went through the net, simply sick.)

Saturday, May 2, 2009

The Old Me is Locked in the Basement

In case you were wondering, I'm  still shaking my head at Paul Pierce for his boneheaded foul out during the last game, I can't believe that a player with a basketball IQ as high as his and a solid track record of mental toughness could have such a breakdown and totally forget the larger context of the game in which he's playing.  It was simply unbelievable, and based on that play alone, the Celtics deserve to be under pressure for tonight's game seven against the young and hungry Chicago Bulls.

Speaking of young and hungry, how about the point guard play in this series?  Derrick Rose has already put his name in the same category as the great Kareem Abdul-Jabbar after scoring 36 and handing out 11 dimes in his playoff debut, and now Boston's Rajon Rondo is poised to climb to new heights and insert his name into an exclusive statistical pantheon of legendary pro-ballers.  Through six games of this series, Rondo is averaging a triple-double (that's achieving double figures in three different statistical categories in a single game, points/assists/rebounds in this and most cases), contributing 21.5 points, 11.7 assists and 10 rebounds a game against the Bulls.  Although he didn't shoot well in game six and had his last good look blocked by Rose in the closing seconds of triple overtime, this statistical achievement is truly bananas.

If Rondo does finish this playoff series averaging a triple-double, he'll be only one of two active players to do so (the other being Jason Kidd, who has done it twice) and become only the sixth player ever to accomplish such a feat.  Even if Rondo gets his rebounds and doesn't record a single assist or a point tonight, he'll join Oscar Robertson, Fat Lever, Jason Kidd, Magic Johnson and Wilt Chamberlain as the only players in NBA history to average a triple-double for a playoff series.  To say that this is elite company is an understatement, considering this list contains arguably the two greatest point guards ever (Magic and the Big O) and three of the top ten all time players (the aforementioned guards and Wilt the Stilt)and, as much as it pains me to say this, the best active point guard in the game (and likely one of the ten or fifteen best ever) in Jason Kidd.  Put simply, Rondo has been playing out of his mind for six straight games and has been the Celtics MVP, despite killer crunch time performances from Paul Pierce, vastly improved play from Glen Davis and 51 from Ray Allen in the last game.  

Aside from the sheer jaw-dropping awesomeness of this statistical achievement, it makes me wonder just how good the Celtics can be in the coming seasons with Rondo playing this kind of take-no-prisoners nasty basketball that would make Isiah Thomas blush all the time.  Two weeks ago, I would have told you that the Celtics' championship window was almost shut after the failed rehabilitation of Kevin Garnett's knee and the lack of bench behind Ray Allen and Paul Pierce, however now I believe that the celtics can continue to contend for titles as long as Rajon Rondo is their point guard and as long as the NBA's rules on hand checking don't change too much.  I can see a bright future for the Celtics with Rondo at the center of it all, shouldering more of the load and lessening the responsibilities of Ray Allen, KG and Paul Pierce.  

As Rondo matures and grows as a player and inevitably commands more attention and conformity to his style, I can easily see the Celtics becoming an unstoppable force of dribble drives, tough finishes and open perimeter shots for Boston's aging but still effective Big 3.  Win or lose, this series has been huge for his development as a player and has shown everyone in the basketball world what this kid can do when the burden to succeed is on his small but strong shoulders.  After the game tonight and into the offseason we'll explore this topic more, but for now I just thought I'd share this small nugget of wisdom with y'all.  

By the way, do you think the Phoenix Suns are kicking themselves for shipping Rondo to the Celtics on draft night for Cleveland's 2007 first rounder in what was essentially a salary dump?  I bet they are, though that pick was used to draft Rudy Fernandez, because they sold him to Portland for cash.  Say it with me now, "D'oh!"

Win or lose I'll have more coming in the next couple of days about the Celtics, until then keep cheering for the Green & White!